H/T to Meidas Touch (@MeidasTouch on X)
February 5, 2025: Long-term interest rates would come down as Trump’s economic policies took effect.
Spring 2025: The federal deficit would move toward 3% of GDP.
Spring 2025: Trump’s policies would produce roughly 3% sustained real GDP growth.
July 8, 2025: The U.S. would collect well over $300 billion in tariff revenue in 2025.
September 1, 2025: The Supreme Court would uphold Trump’s emergency tariffs.
September 7, 2025: The economy would see a “substantial acceleration” in Q4 2025.
December 7–16, 2025: 2025 would finish with 3% to 3.5% real GDP growth.
December 16, 2025: Inflation would see a substantial drop in the first six months of 2026.
February 20, 2026: The economy could grow at least 3.5% in 2026.
April 14, 2026: 2026 GDP growth could easily exceed 3% or 3.5%.
April 14, 2026: Core inflation was falling and the Federal Reserve would need to cut interest rates.
April 14, 2026: Trump’s tariffs could be restored to their previous levels by the beginning of July.
June 2026: Again maintained that 2026 growth could reach roughly 3% to 3.5%.
2025–26: Lower energy prices, fiscal restraint and Trump’s policies would bring down long-term Treasury yields.
2025–26: Faster growth and tariff revenue would materially improve the federal deficit.
And now we get to track this one:
September 5, 2026: Oil could eventually fall to $40–$50 per barrel after the Iran war ends. The economy is now “in the liftoff phase.”